Calculates total survey error (TSE) for one or more surveys, using common scale-dependent and/or scale-independent metrics.  On TSE, see: Weisberg, Herbert (2005, ISBN:0-226-89128-3); Biemer, Paul (2010) <doi:10.1093/poq/nfq058>.

Autoregressive distributed lag (A[R]DL) models (and their reparameterized equivalent, the Generalized Error-Correction Model [GECM]) are the workhorse models in uncovering dynamic inferences. ADL models are simple to estimate; this is what makes them attractive. Once these models are estimated, what is less clear is how to uncover a rich set of dynamic inferences from these models. We provide tools for recovering those inferences. These tools apply to traditional time-series quantities of interest: especially instantaneous effects for any period and cumulative effects for any period (including the long-run effect). They also allow for a variety of shock histories to be applied to the independent variable (beyond just a one-time, one-unit increase) as well as the recovery of inferences in levels for shocks applies to (in)dependent variables in differences (what we call the Generalized Dynamic Response Function). These effects are also available for the general conditional dynamic model advocated by Warner, Vande Kamp, and Jordan (2026 <doi:10.1017/psrm.2026.10087>). We also provide the actual formulae for these effects.

Calculates total survey error (TSE) for one or more surveys, using both scale-dependent and scale-independent metrics.  Package works directly from the data set, with no hand calculations required: just upload a properly structured data set (see TESTIND and its documentation), properly input column names (see functions documentation), and run your functions.  For more on TSE, see: Weisberg, Herbert (2005, ISBN:0-226-89128-3); Biemer, Paul (2010) <doi:10.1093/poq/nfq058>; Biemer, Paul et.al. (2017, ISBN:9781119041672); etc.

A framework for dynamically combining forecasting models for time series forecasting predictive tasks. It leverages machine learning models from other packages to automatically combine expert advice using metalearning and other state-of-the-art forecasting combination approaches. The predictive methods receive a data matrix as input, representing an embedded time series, and return a predictive ensemble model. The ensemble use generic functions 'predict()' and 'forecast()' to forecast future values of the time series. Moreover, an ensemble can be updated using methods, such as 'update_weights()' or 'update_base_models()'. A complete description of the methods can be found in: Cerqueira, V., Torgo, L., Pinto, F., and Soares, C. "Arbitrated Ensemble for Time Series Forecasting." to appear at: Joint European Conference on Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases. Springer International Publishing, 2017; and Cerqueira, V., Torgo, L., and Soares, C.: "Arbitrated Ensemble for Solar Radiation Forecasting." International Work-Conference on Artificial Neural Networks. Springer, 2017 <doi:10.1007/978-3-319-59153-7_62>.